Ben Linfoot seeks out the value in the Betfred Cambridgeshire and he’s backing a couple of 33/1 chances.
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It’s very tempting to hone in on the unexposed, potential group performer in the Betfred Cambridgeshire.
Pipedreamer in 2007, for example, was a group horse masquerading as a handicapper and he duly hacked up in the race when sent off 5/1 favourite.
But for every Pipedreamer there’s a Supaseus or a Prince of Johanne and while I acknowledge the claims of Chil The Kite and Mukhadram, at single-figure odds they are arguably priced up on what they could turn out to be rather than what they have achieved.
This 35-runner cavalry-charge over nine furlongs understandably throws up the odd freak result and I can watch the aforementioned market leaders win at their current prices.
There’s several at bigger odds with chances including King’s Warrior, whose John Smith’s Cup win was hugely impressive, while Jack’s Revenge should appreciate the extra furlong judging by his running-on third at Goodwood.
Fury beat last year’s Cambridgeshire winner, Prince Of Johanne, off just a 2lb-lower mark in a handicap at York earlier in the season and has run respectably in several group races since then.
Indeed, he’s run with credit despite not getting the furious gallop he needs to show his best and while he has to give weight to some smart horses I think 33/1 underestimates his chances.
He carried top weight in that aforementioned York contest – his last run in a handicap – and with this race bound to be run to suit he has the class to outrun his odds in a big way.
That comment also applies to Start Right who is a hold-up performer that needs a really strong pace to show his best form.
He hasn’t looked anything special this season since returning from Dubai, but he ran on very well for third over 10 furlongs at Goodwood which suggests he might just have a big handicap in him when things fall right.
The slight drop in trip shouldn’t be a problem in a race where they go hell for leather and he gets better ground on Saturday then he did when finishing in midfield in Credit Swap’s Cambridgeshire two years ago.
Silvestre De Sousa will have to pick the right gaps at the right time but I’m convinced this horse is on a competitive mark and 33/1 is a carrot I cannot resist.